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There has been a boom in the online betting industry and also the kind of profits many sites are enjoying now is unimaginable. Online casinos are not to be left behind, as there has been a rapid explosion of these as well. The truth is, online poker gives gambling, a glamour quotient by roping in celebrities for high profile tournaments. It indicates reaching out to a whole new market in itself.
But keep in mind, the most successful story will be the rise of sports betting. Fans who have enjoyed betting on games like soccer, football, polo, baseball, hockey and horse racing, can now do so online with the assistance of these sites. A whole new selection of sports are cropping up to encourage the already soaring popularity of online betting. It may be correct to say that audiences are now enjoying the betting experience without being at the field themselves. Welcome to the world of virtual reality.
You will find innumerable so-called gambling experts ready to dish out information of their systems to 'beat the bookie' or to make a second income from gambling, for a cost of course. I won't do that. I will simply give you details about bookmakers, odds and gambling that you should use (or forget) when you see fit.
The first thing to mention is that a large proportion of folks who engage in gambling will be net losers over time. This is the very reason there are numerous bookmakers making so much cash throughout the world.
While bookmakers can sometimes take big hits, by way of example if a favourite wins the Grand National, they spread their risk so widely and they set up markets that incorporate a margin, so they are going to always make money over the medium to long term, if not the short term. That is, as long as they got their sums right.
When setting their odds for a particular event, bookmakers must first assess the probability of that event occurring. To do this they us various statistical models based on data collated over years, sometime decades, about the sport and team/competitor in question. Simply, if sport was 100% predictable, it will soon lose its appeal, and as the bookies are often spot on with their assessments of the probability of an event, they're sometimes way off the mark, mainly because a match or contest goes against conventional wisdom and statistical likelihood.
Just look at any sport and you will find an occasion when the underdog triumphs against all of the odds, literally. Wimbledon beating the then mighty Liverpool in the FA Cup Final of 1988, for example, or the USA beating the then mighty USSR at ice hockey in the 1980 Olympics are two instances of whenever you could have got handsome odds on the underdog. And could have won a good wedge.
The big bookmakers spend a great deal of time and expense ensuring they have the right odds that ensure they take note of the perceived probability of the event, and after that add that extra tiny bit that gives them the profit margin. So if an event has a probability of, say, 1/3, the odds that reflect that probability would be 2/1. That's, two to one against that event occurring.
However, a bookie who set these odds would, over-time, break even (assuming their stats are correct). So instead they can set the odds at, say, 6/4. In this way they have integrated the margin that guarantees, over-time, they will benefit from people betting on this selection. It's the exact same concept as a casino roulette.
So how can you spot the occasions when bookmakers have got it wrong? Well, it's easier said than done, but far from impossible.
One of the ways is to get great at mathematical modelling and set up a model that takes into mind as many of the variables that affect the outcome of an event as it can be. The problem with this tactic is the fact that however complex the model, and however all inclusive it seems, it can never account for the minutiae of variables relating to individual human states of mind. Whether a golfer manages to hole a major-winning five foot putt on the 18th at St Andrews it's as much down to their concentration as to the weather or day of the week. In addition, the maths can start getting pretty darn complicated.
Alternatively you can find yourself a sporting niche. Bookmakers will concentrate their resources on the events which make them the most money, generally found to be football (soccer), American football and horse racing. So trying to beat the bookies while betting on a Manchester United v Chelsea match will be tough. Unless you work for one of the clubs, or are married to among the players or managers, it's very likely the bookmaker setting the odds will have additional information than you.
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