Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot

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Slot Efficiency

The objective of slot efficiency is to maximize the number of slot changes that can be made without breaking the constraints of a set of pre-defined rules. These constraints can include, for instance the minimal operational delay (usually expressed as scheduling delays), fairness, equity access, competition, environmental goals and more. The process of allocation of slots is a complicated one and optimizing it to meet the desired performance metrics requires careful analysis of all factors at play.

In general, the process starts by identifying the types of requests to be prioritized according to established prioritization in the past. Once the type has been identified and the slot allocation model is developed, it is then utilized to minimize the delay criteria. However, many research gaps have been discovered in the optimization of slot scheduling models, especially when trying to balance fairness and efficiency.

A common method of prioritizing slot assignments is the ABC (assigned by velocity) strategy that collects information about the history of items and then determines a velocity group. Items with the highest speed are allocated the top slots in the warehouse, while those with lower speeds are placed further behind.

The distance factor is another crucial element in the slot's efficiency. It is a measure of the amount of space required to support the pick-to ship process. The factor considers the velocity group, the placement of racking and the characteristics of handling equipment of the items.

To improve the efficiency of slot machines, it is also important to think about the cost of any slot change. Managers can determine the costs of a typical change to a slot and its impact on other aspects of slot efficiency such as velocity by analyzing the typical slot.

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Perimeter Efficiency

We all know that wide receivers tend score more touchdowns when they're capable of hitting the perimeter targets instead of slot targets. This is due to the fact that they are typically targeted downfield, and often are in one-on-one coverage. What might be surprising to some is that there's a difference between the top five slot receivers and the rest of them when it comes to scoring on these perimeter targets.

Mike Evans, Amari cooper, Tyler Lockett, and Michael Gallup were the top five scorers on perimeter routes of the 66 wide receivers who saw at least 40 targets in each of the two previous seasons. The bottom half of the list was filled with more possession-based receivers including Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnson. The Bucs will likely shift the latter two players into the slot more often during this season, which will increase their targets. However, they'll have to improve their scoring on the perimeter in order to maintain their high standard.

Speedy wideouts are among the biggest benefit of moving into the slot as they typically have an easier time getting open downfield in the event that their route isn't blocked by a linebacker or cornerback. Corey Coleman is the only wide receiver who's not a speedy wideout but would benefit from more slot time. He's a reliable target for intermediate and short routes.

Jerry Jeudy, KJ Hamler and other receivers who are based on possession are at the lowest of the list. They are better in short and intermediate routes rather than deep zones. Jeudy is a good choice for a sleeper this year since he'll be the primary slot receiver for the Rams while Courtland Sutton and Amari Cooper are largely expected to play on more downfield targets. Hamler will excel on shorter-to-mid and intermediate routes, since it was where he excelled when playing for the Bills in 2021. Hamler could be a great replacement for the former wideout Jordan Matthews.

Percentage of Snaps in the Slot

The proportion of snaps receivers take in the slot can be a good indicator of their ability to run deep routes. It is not always an accurate reflection of a receiver’s skill set since certain receivers excel in the slot, but they can't play further.

Alshon Jeffrey, for example, leads the league in targets received per game (4.8), but is only 6th in slot receiving scores (58.5). This is because most of his targets have come from the outside and it is difficult to gain a first down on a wide-open deep route in that setting.

On the other hand, some receivers excel inside, but struggle on the outer. Robby Anderson, for instance was given 978 snaps by the Panthers this season. He logged 74% of his routes in the slot, compared to only 26% of his boundaries routes. That's a huge improvement and illustrates how much more efficient he is when aligned in the slot.

Chris Godwin, a Buccaneers player, plays inside the majority of his passing downs and is among the top five slot receiving scores (58.5). He also played 51% his perimeter routes and is an expert in one-on-1 coverage.

Speed receivers are more effective when they align inside. They can be targeted further down the field and often face one-on-one coverage. There are names like Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, and Julio Jones in our top five.

On the flip side there are some excellent slot cornerbacks like McDuffie and Moore in this group. McDuffie leads the NFL in forced fumbles with seven, and Moore has the highest tackle-stop efficiency (-3.5) on this list. Spagnuolo made McDuffie's abilities more effective by putting his slot for nickel and dime packages, and then shifting him to the outside while playing base defense. Moore's ability in stopping big run plays is a huge advantage when playing the slot.

Percentage of Snaps Outside

While the NFL's top receivers such as Baldwin, Golden Tate and Larry Fitzgerald excel on the perimeter, it's important to note that their slot counterparts are equally good. As a group, wide receivers with high slot receiving grades score touchdowns roughly at the same amount as those who play on the outside. This is due to the fact that quarterbacks are more consistent in their targets when they throw to outside and slot wide receivers than other inside options such as tight ends and backfield passers.

That's why it's interesting to see a receiver like CeeDee Lamb on this list in 2022, because he plays the slot in three WR sets and flanker in two of the sets. In fact, he's running a higher number of routes in the slot than the majority of players on this chart. This is an excellent method to gain matchup advantages for your team. It also helps explain why Lamb is the most highly-rated receiver in our system.

He also plays at the X-position, and can make big plays on the outside. Lamb isn't as explosive as some of the other players in this list, but he's an elite wide receiver that is well-suited to the Cowboys scheme.

Mecole Hardman, a different player who is able to put huge numbers on targets of both kinds, is a further example. He has a very high slot receiver rating and is among the league's top players at catching back-shoulder throws, however, he's also a formidable contested-catch threat.

Jalen Hilton is another player who is a slot specialist. He's been positioned in this position on 85.7 percent of his defensive plays to date. He's allowed the third-lowest target EPA and the fifth-best run stop EPA among cornerbacks aligned in the slot, which makes him a valuable part of his team's defense. On the other hand, he's had trouble to prevent passes from the outside and has given the negative EPA against these kinds of targets. This has been a result of playing with poor linebackers and safeties who don't have the same size and speed, as well as his route-running abilities.